Even Match: Blue Wave
Does Conor Lamb’s victory foreshadow a blue wave for the upcoming midterm elections in 2018?
April 6, 2018
PAVLE: You know, Nick, with all the recent hubbub surrounding the special election between Lamb and Saccone, with Joe Biden and Donald Trump flying in to speak on behalf of the respective candidates, and with around-the-clock media coverage, many people have been crying out that this election spells some sort of doom and gloom for President Trump and the Republican party. I disagree. There were so many outside factors affecting the election that it’s impossible predict the upcoming election.
NICK: I agree with you that there’s been a lot of hubbub around it — and that’s a good word for it. I do not believe it spells doom and gloom for Trump and the Republicans. But I do not think it’s good that with the amount of money the GOP spent attacking Conor Lamb, and the fact that Trump flew in and could not help Saccone, they lost this traditionally conservative seat. That does not bode well, but as you will probably mention, Lamb is an outlier of a Democrat.
PAVLE: The district might be traditionally conservative in the voting booth, but what most media outlets are missing is that there are around 40,000 to 50,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans in that district. So while in the past, fewer Democrats were inclined to vote, in this election they simply got out to vote. Though it may be representative of Democrats in the larger election to come, I do not think that it means Republicans and moderates are as disillusioned with Trump and the Republican Congress as many are saying.
NICK: You make a fair point, Pavle. I think this election and Conor Lamb are outliers, Lamb, especially. There are not many moderates on both the Democrat and Republican sides of Congress. I think that’s a big problem, and I hope perhaps Conor Lamb’s victory and moderate position will serve as an example to others across the nation and perhaps usher in a new era of moderate politics.
PAVLE: This is very true Nick. As more candidates run on more moderate positions, it can only be for the benefit of the nation as a whole. However, the actual thing at stake is how these politicians actually vote in Congress compared to what they run on. Too many Democrats — and Republicans — make many campaign promises but just end up following whatever their mainstream doctrine is.
NICK: Yet another fair point, Pavle. Not all politicians vote compared to what they run on. But I believe Conor Lamb is they type of guy who will stay true to his word. This is odd — we have a lot of agreement here. I like it.
PAVLE: Yeah, it seems we have exhausted our argumentative habits. Nick, once again, in agreement or disagreement, you are a true even match.